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Kevin Kelly: Predicting the next 5,000 days of the web



Uploaded by: TEDtalksDirector
Video Description:
http://www.ted.com At the 2007 EG conference, Kevin Kelly shares a fun stat: The World Wide Web, as we know it, is only 5,000 days old. Now, Kelly asks, how can we predict what's coming in the next 5,000 days?


Tags for this video: brain computer future Google intelligence internet Kelly Kevin network predictions semantic talks TED TEDtalks web

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Comments for this video on YouTube
he doesn't use ... ( 2 months ago by crazydutchTV)
he doesn't use internet much.
I think the point ... ( 2 months ago by cswpride)
I think the point he is making is that in 2040 the processing power will be greater than the current human population. Current estimates indicate the projected global population to be around 9 billion in 2040, which is only a fifty-percent increase, and one can reasonably assume that technology will improve (see other Ted talks regarding DNA programming) to increase the acceleration in the web's processing power so that it is more than doubling (a two-hundred percent increase) every two years.
That's not certain. ... ( 2 months ago by Weephoot)
That's not certain. the internet will always grow, but we always got a chance of nuclear holocaust, WW3, world starvation etc etc. the human population may be even smaller than it is now in 2040
I'm beginning to ... ( 2 months ago by wamukota)
I'm beginning to hate the future... if this "one machine" starts knowing everything about us we will be really easy to spy on. The internet will become the Big Brother. I seriously hope this man is wrong.
he had me at hello ( 2 months ago by OrangeOrnage)
he had me at hello
He's a prick... Mr. ... ( 2 months ago by llors)
He's a prick... Mr. Smart-Ass... so full of himself, he probably tripped on acid and came up with this BS.
Um. What? ( 2 months ago by craygates)
Um. What?
He is talking about ... ( 2 months ago by teknikoo)
He is talking about when it became openly available to everyone as a webpage.
We are already easy ... ( 2 months ago by teknikoo)
We are already easy to spy on. Get someones name then you search for their phone number, and from there you can get their address, and you can use Google earth to find exactly where they live and what their house looks like, or you can use MapQuest and get directions from your house to theirs Its all here already
And if he said all this to you 10 years ago about how the internet is now, you would of came up with the same response
And as always if you dont wanna be a part of it you dont have to
No bits will live ... ( 2 months ago by cypher1554R)
No bits will live outside the web..? Keep dreaming old man.. As long as privacy lives, there will be bits that only and ONLY that person knows about, and will never be a part of the "machine". You can only say that you're sharing everything, but then you're only lying..
To poke a few holes ... ( 2 months ago by grandmastertube1)
To poke a few holes, humans are reaching the brink of energy production on earth. Even taking into account the computing advances we will surely make by 2030, I doubt it would be possible to maintain a doubling of power every two years. As he stated, the net is 1 human brain of computing power that consumes 5% of the global electricity, how do we expect to power 6 billion human brains by 2030?
If this guy wants to live out his fantasy , he better switch jobs and develop a new form of energy.
Your statement is ... ( 2 months ago by Lihinel)
Your statement is wrong, while the computation power is doubling every 12-18 month, the energy consumption isnt.
Oh and btw there is plenty of energy, we get literaly hit in our face by it.
If we could convert 1% of the sunlight hitting the earth, all our energy problems would have been solved.
And yes, those technologys are getting cheaper and way more efficent. (Third Generation solar cells)
Like you said, *if* ... ( 2 months ago by grandmastertube1)
Like you said, *if* we could convert it. My point is that there are problems and limitations with the earth that cannot be ignored. All this newly developed computing power generates huge amounts of waste in the form of outdated computers. The power used to run a computer may be on the decline, but I'm sure the power used for R&D (as well as computer users) is increasing dramatically. To think we can carry on like this is simply irresponsible and tunnel-visioned.
This video defines ignorance.
Attention Google: ... ( 2 months ago by mopsius)
Attention Google: Incorrect. There is a inverse proportion between the amount of information and its depth.
As a consequence any human being in this web will approach total superficiality.
At that point no information at all will be necessary.
Let's call it " ... ( 1 month ago by Generic1125)
Let's call it "Omega" instead of "One".
Teilhard ftw
Great idea, however ... ( 1 month ago by heyheyhey0220)
Great idea, however tech progresses in jumps and starts; the net has largely completed it's start.
it will continue to become begger, but i think he overestimates the rate it'll be
agreed, unless we ... ( 1 month ago by oxygenownz)
agreed, unless we have some major breakthroughs.
W have the same ... ( 1 month ago by skatemore1995)
W have the same full name
whats this dude on? ( 1 month ago by leadhead616)
whats this dude on?
Your comments ... ( 1 month ago by darkfox1990)
Your comments define idiocy.
WOW ( 1 month ago by b2Con3as)
WOW
It will be a ... ( 4 weeks ago by CityzenJane)
It will be a psycotic and pschizoid machine. Being that ourselves we cannot create something less so. Or sane, even.
u make some ... ( 3 weeks ago by baronmorris)
u make some provocative points, but ur conclusion is rather luddite.
also, if u feel that way, what are u doing on the web. ;-)
peace
Aha, and how many ... ( 1 week ago by rippedangels)
Aha, and how many people were using the Net before the World Wide Web?



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